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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

data as of 2026-04-29 21:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.0K−$24K$31K
Holders292−119411
Trades3.8K−3724.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.0%
−21.2 pp
64.2%
Avg ROI4.7%
+2.2 pp
2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×24.26
+23.56×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.56
+23.85×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.2K
−$19.0K
$25.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
+0.01
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.2%
−134.1 pp
37.9%
Underwater %93.7%
+86.4 pp
7.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.0%
+6.7 pp
57.3%
Bot %66.3%
−1.8 pp
68.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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