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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 22?

data as of 2026-05-21 23:36 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$610−$7.1K$7.7K
Holders139+4693
Trades687+208479
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.2%
−23.5 pp
63.7%
Avg ROI11.7%
+14.5 pp
-2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.24
+3.30×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.20
+3.26×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$96
$98
Recent buyer dominance0.62
−0.38
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-77.0%
−84.4 pp
7.3%
Underwater %97.9%
+97.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.4%
−7.9 pp
30.3%
Bot %20.7%
−1.5 pp
22.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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