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Will André Ventura win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

data as of 2026-01-18 20:07 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.2K−$10K$12K
Holders41−546
Trades350+71279
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.2%
−3.8 pp
61.0%
Avg ROI3.6%
+4.3 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.68
+0.66×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.61
+0.65×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16
−$1.2K
$1.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.81
−0.19
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-33.3%
−37.6 pp
4.3%
Underwater %63.2%
+8.0 pp
55.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %19.7%
−45.1 pp
64.9%
Bot %17.5%
−46.9 pp
64.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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