Markets › detail

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 21?

data as of 2026-04-20 16:30 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$43−$3.9K$3.9K
Holders49−554
Trades305+160145
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate28.5%
−60.1 pp
88.6%
Avg ROI-0.1%
−0.1 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.25
+2.26×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.52
+2.53×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$30
$30
Recent buyer dominance0.65
−0.35
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-78.2%
−80.0 pp
1.9%
Underwater %100.0%
+98.6 pp
1.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %7.5%
−3.6 pp
11.1%
Bot %17.7%
+6.5 pp
11.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse