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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

data as of 2026-03-11 07:57 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$29K+$23K$5.9K
Holders285−28313
Trades2.5K−1472.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.9%
+14.5 pp
45.4%
Avg ROI2.3%
−18.4 pp
20.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.82
−10.30×
×11.13
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.81
−11.59×
×12.39
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.5K
+$7.1K
$344
Recent buyer dominance0.81
−0.15
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL25.4%
+119.0 pp
-93.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−93.0 pp
93.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.0%
+1.3 pp
60.8%
Bot %62.0%
+1.1 pp
60.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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