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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

data as of 2026-05-27 02:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.9K−$3.3K$8.2K
Holders162+28134
Trades1.8K+1601.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.5%
−2.2 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI1.9%
+1.1 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×20.52
+19.93×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×20.34
+19.79×
×0.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.1K
−$2.3K
$3.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.03
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.8%
−172.2 pp
77.5%
Underwater %98.3%
+98.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %56.8%
−5.3 pp
62.1%
Bot %75.4%
−4.3 pp
79.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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