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Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?

data as of 2026-02-08 00:53 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.2K−$94K$95K
Holders110+1496
Trades2.1K+8391.3K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.2%
−33.4 pp
80.6%
Avg ROI29.4%
+29.4 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.07
+1.08×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.56
+1.57×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$90
−$7.5K
$7.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.09
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-61.3%
−61.7 pp
0.5%
Underwater %88.2%
+75.6 pp
12.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %27.3%
−50.6 pp
77.9%
Bot %2.6%
−75.6 pp
78.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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