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Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on March 23?

data as of 2026-03-23 16:31 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$5.8K+$4.7K$1.1K
Holders119+3584
Trades698+175523
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate62.8%
+12.1 pp
50.6%
Avg ROI-0.7%
+0.7 pp
-1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.70
−14.11×
×14.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−14.52×
×15.27
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$386
+$372
$14
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.04
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL44.4%
+138.3 pp
-93.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.3%
−25.6 pp
43.9%
Bot %17.0%
−26.9 pp
43.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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