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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

data as of 2026-05-16 11:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.2K−$13K$20K
Holders385+137248
Trades2.7K+1992.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.9%
−7.9 pp
52.8%
Avg ROI0.4%
+1.1 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.43
+11.65×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.13
+12.38×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.8K
−$10.4K
$15.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.03
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.3%
−127.3 pp
35.0%
Underwater %97.9%
+97.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.2%
−3.9 pp
68.1%
Bot %73.0%
−6.6 pp
79.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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