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Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

data as of 2026-07-23 21:00 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Aug 11, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
12¢
NO
88¢
YES
12¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3−$20$23
Holders1−23
Trades303
NO
88¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
−80.9 pp
80.9%
Avg ROI0.0%
−2.4 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$9
$10
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
-0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−43.5 pp
43.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %100.0%
+43.5 pp
56.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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