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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 20:53 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.9K−$7.3K$13K
Holders257+14243
Trades1.6K+911.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.8%
−0.6 pp
50.5%
Avg ROI2.3%
+2.0 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.30
+6.58×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.58
+6.83×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.8K
−$7.1K
$13.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.01
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.0%
−126.3 pp
40.3%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.6%
−7.7 pp
45.2%
Bot %53.6%
−7.6 pp
61.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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