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Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -9°C on March 17?

data as of 2026-03-14 00:12 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$16−$3.3K$3.3K
Holders27−4067
Trades339+215124
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate18.2%
+18.2 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI2.2%
+2.2 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.01×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.77
+0.78×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$27
$27
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-43.6%
−44.4 pp
0.8%
Underwater %77.2%
+77.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.8%
−77.2 pp
100.0%
Bot %22.8%
−77.2 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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