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Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

data as of 2026-05-21 20:39 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.7K−$109K$110K
Holders115−303418
Trades2.6K+7581.9K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.2%
−22.3 pp
81.5%
Avg ROI16.7%
+16.5 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.38
+5.42×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.92
+9.97×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$433
$436
Recent buyer dominance0.54
−0.46
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.8%
−95.5 pp
4.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.2%
−7.5 pp
27.7%
Bot %20.5%
−26.7 pp
47.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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