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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

data as of 2026-05-10 17:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.2K−$27K$29K
Holders140−9149
Trades1.3K+991.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.5%
−51.0 pp
92.4%
Avg ROI6.3%
+4.4 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×220.06
+219.06×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×175.82
+174.89×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$31
−$22.7K
$22.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.57
−0.40
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.4%
−109.7 pp
10.2%
Underwater %97.4%
+89.0 pp
8.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.3%
+41.2 pp
27.2%
Bot %75.3%
+44.7 pp
30.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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