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Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

data as of 2025-10-30 17:07 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$28K+$8.6K$20K
Holders144+5193
Trades1.6K+3701.2K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate63.4%
−2.5 pp
65.9%
Avg ROI5.3%
−14.5 pp
19.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.99
−1.95×
×2.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.86
−2.02×
×2.88
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.2K
+$1.0K
$170
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.07
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL32.2%
+94.9 pp
-62.7%
Underwater %48.5%
−27.9 pp
76.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.1%
−65.4 pp
71.5%
Bot %3.7%
−68.4 pp
72.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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