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Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)?

data as of 2026-02-28 06:44 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4.0K−$159K$163K
Holders185−660845
Trades11K+1.5K9.1K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.4%
−29.6 pp
76.9%
Avg ROI24.2%
+21.8 pp
2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.89
+0.90×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.37
+1.38×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$79
−$4.2K
$4.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.61
−0.38
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-59.8%
−61.1 pp
1.4%
Underwater %99.0%
+98.7 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.5%
−89.5 pp
98.0%
Bot %8.5%
−89.5 pp
98.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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