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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

data as of 2025-10-20 17:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.8K−$4.6K$7.3K
Holders47+839
Trades256−87343
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.4%
+4.5 pp
47.9%
Avg ROI-2.3%
−1.6 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.52
−24.48×
×25.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.50
−25.93×
×26.43
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$590
−$589
$1.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.72
−0.14
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL100.4%
+196.6 pp
-96.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.0%
−25.3 pp
90.3%
Bot %50.6%
−2.7 pp
53.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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