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Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 07:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9−$12$21
Holders14+86
Trades23+158
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.3%
−7.6 pp
53.9%
Avg ROI3.0%
+5.3 pp
-2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.34
+9.60×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.94
+12.22×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
−$7
$16
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.19
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.3%
−130.2 pp
38.0%
Underwater %98.6%
+98.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.8%
+45.2 pp
9.6%
Bot %23.6%
+22.1 pp
1.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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