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Will Trump say "Longest Government Shutdown" this week? (November 17 – 23)

data as of 2025-11-22 23:55 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$155−$3.6K$3.8K
Holders22+814
Trades246+20442
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.0%
+40.3 pp
7.7%
Avg ROI12.7%
−18.3 pp
31.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×93.33
+92.71×
×0.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×69.10
+68.47×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
+$1
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.5%
−156.7 pp
58.2%
Underwater %73.1%
+71.9 pp
1.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.7%
+34.0 pp
0.8%
Bot %41.3%
+40.5 pp
0.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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