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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8AM ET

data as of 2025-10-20 12:55 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$9.0K$21K
Holders95+1382
Trades2.2K−1192.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.1%
+1.1 pp
45.0%
Avg ROI-3.3%
+2.3 pp
-5.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.20
+13.64×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.11
+13.55×
×0.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.0K
−$906
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.14
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.0%
−171.9 pp
78.9%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.6%
−2.1 pp
77.7%
Bot %75.7%
−2.2 pp
77.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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