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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

data as of 2026-07-17 12:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$24K+$10K$14K
Holders448+9439
Trades2.8K+2312.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.0%
−0.2 pp
50.2%
Avg ROI2.5%
+0.4 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×69.89
+69.50×
×0.39
Top-20 avg cost vs price×65.50
+65.06×
×0.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$21.5K
+$9.1K
$12.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.04
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.4%
−237.9 pp
139.5%
Underwater %95.9%
+95.3 pp
0.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.0%
+0.3 pp
32.7%
Bot %53.9%
+0.6 pp
53.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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