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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 20?

data as of 2026-03-20 04:58 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.5K−$17K$19K
Holders189+65124
Trades1.8K+5411.2K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.1%
−29.1 pp
69.3%
Avg ROI-1.0%
−1.3 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.85
+1.90×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.93
+1.98×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$115
$118
Recent buyer dominance0.73
+0.08
0.65
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-64.2%
−69.7 pp
5.6%
Underwater %94.1%
+91.2 pp
2.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.6%
+5.2 pp
29.4%
Bot %32.2%
+3.5 pp
28.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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