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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

data as of 2026-05-03 21:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.7K−$9.2K$12K
Holders320+146174
Trades2.2K+7861.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.1%
−21.8 pp
67.9%
Avg ROI6.6%
+7.2 pp
-0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.01
+14.02×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.15
+16.13×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.4K
−$7.3K
$9.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.3%
−94.7 pp
1.3%
Underwater %78.8%
+30.7 pp
48.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %52.2%
−14.9 pp
67.1%
Bot %52.1%
−15.0 pp
67.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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