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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

data as of 2025-10-22 21:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.4K−$628$2.1K
Holders59+1742
Trades350+159191
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.9%
−37.5 pp
84.4%
Avg ROI7.5%
+6.7 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.93
+14.14×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.72
+18.92×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$21
−$83
$104
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.28
0.72
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.8%
−122.7 pp
27.9%
Underwater %98.6%
+98.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.5%
−11.2 pp
49.7%
Bot %34.6%
−17.9 pp
52.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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