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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

data as of 2026-05-02 11:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.9K−$6.4K$8.3K
Holders166+7591
Trades1.0K+99936
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.0%
−20.0 pp
66.0%
Avg ROI-2.2%
+1.5 pp
-3.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.57
+3.70×
×0.87
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.26
+4.40×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$266
−$2.3K
$2.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.07
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-85.7%
−105.4 pp
19.7%
Underwater %97.3%
+97.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.8%
−7.9 pp
67.8%
Bot %62.3%
−10.2 pp
72.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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