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Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15?

data as of 2023-12-16 14:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.2K−$7.9K$9.1K
Holders9+18
Trades66−3399
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.6%
+32.6 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI37.0%
+37.0 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.17×
×1.17
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.01
−0.16×
×1.17
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$27
+$27
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-0.6%
+13.6 pp
-14.2%
Underwater %25.0%
−75.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.0%
−25.0 pp
100.0%
Bot %75.0%
−25.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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