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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 28?

data as of 2026-07-26 10:29 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 28, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
59¢
NO
41¢
YES
59¢
YesY-NNo
Position$140+$35$105
Holders13−215
Trades34−337
NO
41¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.2%
−13.9 pp
61.1%
Avg ROI15.5%
+5.7 pp
9.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.99
−0.03×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.95
−0.13×
×1.08
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$41
+$13
$29
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.08
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL5.3%
+12.6 pp
-7.4%
Underwater %1.6%
−52.3 pp
53.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−2.5 pp
2.5%
Bot %41.1%
+21.6 pp
19.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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