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Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?

data as of 2026-05-16 08:07 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.6K−$7.8K$11K
Holders34−1347
Trades119−65184
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.5%
+24.0 pp
30.5%
Avg ROI8.1%
+8.3 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.01×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.01×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.2K
−$5.5K
$7.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.03
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.3%
+1.4 pp
-1.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.7 pp
95.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.7%
−22.4 pp
23.1%
Bot %0.6%
−23.0 pp
23.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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