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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11AM ET

data as of 2025-09-13 15:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$5.9K$17K
Holders76+1660
Trades1.3K+277981
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.1%
−10.6 pp
55.7%
Avg ROI4.5%
−3.1 pp
7.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.33
+4.67×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.74
+4.08×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$191
−$996
$1.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.02
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-79.1%
−133.3 pp
54.2%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.6%
−21.6 pp
83.2%
Bot %62.1%
−22.0 pp
84.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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