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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

data as of 2026-03-15 06:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$27K+$18K$9.2K
Holders234+12222
Trades3.4K−2163.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.5%
+13.1 pp
44.4%
Avg ROI42.1%
+41.1 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−26.88×
×27.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−26.72×
×27.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.6K
+$8.6K
$2.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.04
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL39.0%
+135.4 pp
-96.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.0 pp
98.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.9%
−2.4 pp
80.2%
Bot %77.4%
−3.2 pp
80.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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