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Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 9PM ET

data as of 2026-01-16 02:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.6K−$8.2K$9.8K
Holders61061
Trades1.0K+128874
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.3%
−2.2 pp
52.6%
Avg ROI11.1%
+8.9 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.38
+15.55×
×0.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.85
+18.06×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8
−$339
$346
Recent buyer dominance0.81
+0.03
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.7%
−122.2 pp
27.5%
Underwater %98.0%
+98.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.9%
−1.1 pp
82.0%
Bot %80.1%
−1.4 pp
81.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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