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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 03:33 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K+$15K$3.5K
Holders269−32301
Trades1.5K−811.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.2%
+3.2 pp
50.0%
Avg ROI1.8%
−4.6 pp
6.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−18.26×
×19.04
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−14.17×
×14.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.9K
+$10.5K
$3.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.03
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL29.0%
+123.3 pp
-94.4%
Underwater %0.5%
−88.5 pp
89.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.0%
+11.0 pp
32.0%
Bot %55.6%
+4.5 pp
51.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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