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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

data as of 2026-03-12 11:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$27K$40K
Holders311+58253
Trades3.3K+1573.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.3%
−4.6 pp
52.9%
Avg ROI2.0%
−0.8 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.37
+15.69×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.05
+14.36×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$754
−$7.0K
$7.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.05
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.4%
−136.7 pp
43.3%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.2%
+11.4 pp
53.8%
Bot %66.2%
+12.5 pp
53.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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