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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 30?

data as of 2025-12-30 15:05 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$81K+$72K$8.4K
Holders109+7102
Trades1.9K+6031.3K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.0%
+15.2 pp
40.8%
Avg ROI0.9%
+0.3 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.89
−12.61×
×13.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.91
−9.18×
×10.09
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$450
+$451
−$1
Recent buyer dominance0.76
+0.28
0.48
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL9.2%
+99.0 pp
-89.8%
Underwater %21.9%
−76.6 pp
98.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.7%
−7.6 pp
58.3%
Bot %58.5%
+23.3 pp
35.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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