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US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

data as of 2026-06-15 15:43 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$56K+$31K$25K
Holders117−6123
Trades1.2K−5321.7K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate77.5%
+19.0 pp
58.5%
Avg ROI2.8%
+2.7 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.02
−1.20×
×2.22
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.99
−1.18×
×2.16
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$31.9K
+$32.1K
−$213
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.93
0.03
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL4.5%
+60.9 pp
-56.4%
Underwater %50.9%
−43.2 pp
94.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %10.9%
+7.6 pp
3.3%
Bot %13.6%
+2.1 pp
11.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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