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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

data as of 2026-05-17 02:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K+$4.7K$6.3K
Holders121−42163
Trades2.0K−152.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.4%
+0.6 pp
49.8%
Avg ROI2.0%
−0.6 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.65
−11.84×
×12.48
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.63
−11.86×
×12.50
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.5K
+$3.1K
$2.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.10
0.83
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL59.5%
+151.4 pp
-91.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.1 pp
99.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %52.9%
+3.1 pp
49.8%
Bot %79.2%
+1.9 pp
77.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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