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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-19 19:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.9K−$6.0K$11K
Holders238+18220
Trades1.7K+1671.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.5%
−2.6 pp
52.1%
Avg ROI0.4%
+0.4 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.50
+13.81×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.24
+13.55×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.5K
−$5.8K
$10.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.9%
−139.8 pp
46.8%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.8 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.6%
−1.0 pp
37.6%
Bot %50.4%
−7.6 pp
58.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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