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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

data as of 2026-02-25 05:30 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$140K−$172K$312K
Holders431−38469
Trades6.4K−8837.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.7%
−47.7 pp
96.4%
Avg ROI6.4%
+5.7 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×75.00
+74.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×82.76
+81.81×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$118.2K
−$97.7K
$215.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.00
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.7%
−119.4 pp
20.8%
Underwater %98.1%
+92.7 pp
5.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.8%
+49.0 pp
31.8%
Bot %80.8%
+50.1 pp
30.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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