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Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of July?

data as of 2026-07-22 21:42 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
8¢
NO
91¢
YES
8¢
YesY-NNo
Position$40+$40$0
Holders1+10
Trades1−12
NO
91¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.0%
+57.0 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI5.8%
+5.8 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+1.00×
×0.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+1.00×
×0.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$40
+$45
−$5
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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