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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 01:48 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.3K−$20K$26K
Holders308−84392
Trades2.6K−132.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.8%
−3.8 pp
52.6%
Avg ROI6.0%
+5.6 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.37
+9.59×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.62
+9.82×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.2K
−$18.8K
$25.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.9%
−121.3 pp
30.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.3%
+4.1 pp
35.2%
Bot %55.2%
+3.9 pp
51.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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