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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on February 6?

data as of 2026-02-03 18:46 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$49−$20K$20K
Holders39−2968
Trades228+64164
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.5%
−28.0 pp
61.5%
Avg ROI7.5%
−13.2 pp
20.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.04
+3.05×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.29
+3.31×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$109
$110
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-76.5%
−78.6 pp
2.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %24.7%
−36.4 pp
61.1%
Bot %24.7%
−37.5 pp
62.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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