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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

data as of 2026-02-14 18:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.1K−$42K$51K
Holders438+109329
Trades3.7K+3273.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.0%
−15.2 pp
56.2%
Avg ROI12.9%
+7.8 pp
5.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.00
+6.34×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.15
+5.47×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.5K
−$14.1K
$22.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.06
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-83.5%
−134.1 pp
50.6%
Underwater %88.1%
+88.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.6%
−3.8 pp
58.4%
Bot %48.4%
+6.7 pp
41.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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