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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

data as of 2026-05-26 08:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.5K+$1.8K$6.7K
Holders108−42150
Trades1.9K+1921.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.1%
+1.3 pp
49.8%
Avg ROI-0.1%
+0.8 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.60
−14.30×
×14.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.61
−11.51×
×12.13
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.1K
+$3.0K
$1.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.02
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL68.5%
+161.3 pp
-92.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.7 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.3%
−6.7 pp
64.0%
Bot %75.5%
−3.3 pp
78.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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