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Will a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election?

data as of 2024-11-03 18:31 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$54K−$155K$210K
Holders341+26873
Trades1.8K+8341.0K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.5%
−24.2 pp
56.7%
Avg ROI3.1%
+4.3 pp
-1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.80
−0.25×
×1.05
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−0.26×
×1.05
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$552
−$1.4K
$2.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.69
−0.31
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL24.8%
+29.4 pp
-4.7%
Underwater %1.3%
−98.0 pp
99.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.7%
−39.1 pp
65.8%
Bot %22.8%
−43.0 pp
65.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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