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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

data as of 2025-12-29 02:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K−$22K$48K
Holders302−35337
Trades5.4K−1555.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.9%
−17.3 pp
60.2%
Avg ROI-1.3%
+1.6 pp
-2.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×33.91
+33.26×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×34.46
+33.81×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.7K
−$10.1K
$12.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
+0.10
0.76
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.9%
−149.3 pp
52.4%
Underwater %94.2%
+94.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.0%
+15.3 pp
41.7%
Bot %58.1%
+13.3 pp
44.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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