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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

data as of 2026-05-09 00:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.1K−$3.5K$9.7K
Holders157+44113
Trades1.6K−961.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.6%
−3.6 pp
50.2%
Avg ROI-2.3%
+0.3 pp
-2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×24.55
+24.08×
×0.48
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.03
+23.55×
×0.49
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.0K
−$454
$2.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.10
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.7%
−198.6 pp
103.0%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.9%
+23.0 pp
56.9%
Bot %84.8%
+23.4 pp
61.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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