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Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 8 awards at the Oscars?

data as of 2026-03-16 02:37 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$354−$11K$11K
Holders67+265
Trades646+323323
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate26.5%
−58.1 pp
84.6%
Avg ROI15.0%
+11.8 pp
3.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.22
+17.23×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×25.25
+24.26×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$1.0K
$1.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.83
+0.27
0.57
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.6%
−98.5 pp
1.9%
Underwater %95.0%
+92.2 pp
2.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.4%
−23.0 pp
37.4%
Bot %14.4%
−23.5 pp
37.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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