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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

data as of 2026-02-01 23:42 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$58K+$45K$13K
Holders223−122345
Trades4.2K−3014.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.4%
+13.9 pp
40.5%
Avg ROI0.1%
−0.5 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.82
−9.51×
×10.33
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.81
−9.80×
×10.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.9K
+$8.3K
$590
Recent buyer dominance0.68
−0.18
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL25.8%
+116.5 pp
-90.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.2 pp
98.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.4%
+8.8 pp
70.6%
Bot %78.5%
+9.2 pp
69.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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