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Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on February 14?

data as of 2026-02-14 08:16 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$286−$26K$27K
Holders88+1375
Trades756+263493
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.9%
−40.0 pp
87.9%
Avg ROI15.1%
+13.0 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.52
−0.49×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.62
−0.38×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$31
$32
Recent buyer dominance0.57
−0.43
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL45.2%
+45.5 pp
-0.3%
Underwater %8.5%
−77.6 pp
86.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.3%
+22.1 pp
10.2%
Bot %34.8%
+24.5 pp
10.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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