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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

data as of 2026-05-11 19:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$10K$22K
Holders366+5361
Trades3.2K−313.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.6%
−4.4 pp
51.0%
Avg ROI2.3%
+1.7 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×40.84
+40.26×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×33.55
+32.97×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.3K
−$4.8K
$15.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.02
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.2%
−165.6 pp
68.4%
Underwater %91.5%
+91.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %52.1%
−4.1 pp
56.3%
Bot %60.4%
−5.2 pp
65.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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